Saturday, April 20, 2024

Michael Burry financial crisis

by Hideo Nakamura
Michael Burry financial crisis

Michael Burry is a real-life hedge fund manager and investor who was featured in the movie The Big Short. He is best known for his prescient prediction of, and successful betting against, the subprime mortgage crisis that caused a global financial meltdown in 2008.

Burry’s story began in 2005 when he identified an impending housing bubble as a result of speculation and easy lending practices that would eventually lead to widespread defaults on mortgages. After analyzing hundreds of thousands of mortgage bonds, he concluded they were overvalued due to inflated credit ratings from bond rating agencies such as Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s.

He then made the unconventional move of shorting these securities by buying credit default swaps (CDS) from AIG Financial Products Group. This allowed him to make money if the mortgages went into default by paying out less than what was owed on them; essentially betting against Wall Street firms who had invested heavily in these securities believing they were safe investments backed by US government guarantees.

By 2007, more investors started to realize what Burry had seen earlier and joined him in shorting subprime mortgages with CDS contracts resulting in increased demand for CDS protection driving up premiums which further damaged the value of mortgage-backed securities held by investment banks such as Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Lehman Brothers etc., thus hastening their demise during 2008 financial crisis. This ultimately led to massive losses at major companies including Bear Stearns, Fannie Mae/Freddie Mac collapse requiring huge bailouts from federal government while leaving many other investors bankrupted or otherwise financially ruined after they followed suit without being able to withstand market volatility created by ensuing panic selloff leading up to Great Recession period between 2007–2009 culminating with stock market crash starting on September 29th 2008 also referred as Black Monday event wiping out trillions worth of wealth worldwide within weeks timeframe turning decade long equity bull run into sudden bear market overnight..

This episode serves reminder how important it is for investors not just rely blindly on traditional methods but look beyond surface level analysis when making decisions particularly related volatile asset classes like cryptocurrencies where markets are largely driven sentiment rather than fundamentals alone meaning speculative moves can become runaway trends quickly resulting large gains or losses depending one particular direction taken therefore proper risk management strategies should always be employed navigate sea cryptocurrency waters safely

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